NT Web Times


Blog For Free!


Archives
Home
2004 October
2004 September
2004 April
2004 March

My Links
NT Legislative Assembly Members incl full contact details
NT Labor
CLP
NT Branch of the Australian Greens
NT Branch of the Australian Democrats
Current list of all registered political parties (Australia Wide)
NT Election Results
Senator Trish Crossin
Senator Nigel Scullion
David Tollner (CLP Solomon)
Warren Snowdon MP (ALP) Member for Lingiari
John Elferink (CLP) MacDonnell
Tilly Needham (Our Territory)
POLLS - Newspoll, Latest Polls
POLLS - Morgan Research, Latest Polls (May require flash)
POLITICAL CARTOONISTS - Nicholson
POLITICAL CARTOONISTS - David Pope aka Hinze
MEDIA - ABC Darwin Radio
MEDIA - ABC Central Australia Radio (Alice Springs)
MEDIA - ABC News in the NT
MEDIA - Australian Parliament Live Webcasts
MEDIA - Alice Springs News
MEDIA - NT News (added in the interests of fairness)
Other Links - Whats on in Darwin - The Best Website I have found for this!
OTHER LINKS - Track the progress of Cane Toads in the NT

tBlog
My Profile
Send tMail
My tFriends
My Images


Sponsored
Blog



THE FULL LIST OF PARTIES (Not all contesting this election)
10.05.04 (5:14 am)   [edit]
Advance Australia Party  
*Australian Democrats (Democrats)
*Australian Greens (The Greens)
Australian Labor Party (ALP)
Australian Progressive Alliance (The Progressives)
*Australians Against Further Immigration  
*Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group)
CDP Christian Party
*Citizens Electoral Council of Australia (Citizens Electoral Council)
*Country Labor Party (Country Labor)
*Curtin Labor Alliance  
*Democratic Labor Party of Australia (DLP)
Ex-Service, Service & Veterans Party (ESVP)
Family First Party (Family First)
*Help End Marijuana Prohibition (HEMP)
*Hope Party Australia - ethics equality ecology (Hope Party)
*liberals for forests (L4F)
Liberal Party of Australia (Liberal)
*Lower Excise Fuel and Beer Party  
National Party of Australia (The Nationals)
New Country Party (New Country)
*No Goods and Services Tax Party (No GST)
*Non-Custodial Parents Party  
*Northern Territory Country Liberal Party (CLP)
*Nuclear Disarmament Party of Australia (NDP)
*Outdoor Recreation Party (ORP)
Pauline Hanson's One Nation (NSW Division)
*Pauline Hanson's One Nation One Nation
NOTE: Pauline Hanson is running as an Independant
*Progressive Labour Party  
*Republican Party of Australia (The Community Republicans)
*Save the ADI Site Party  
Socialist Alliance  
*Tasmania First Party (Tasmania First)
Tasmanian Independent Senator Brian Harradine Group
NOTE: Brian Harradine has announced his retirement and is not seeking re-election
The Aged and Disability Pensioners Party  
The Australian Greens (Australian Greens)
*The Fishing Party 
The Great Australians (G.A.)
Young National Party of Australia (Young Nationals)

Whatever happened to the Happy Birthday Party? (TRUE! Check with the AEC!)
 
PREDICTIONS
10.05.04 (4:55 am)   [edit]

NT Web times tends towards pragmatism when it comes to predicting election results. While the pollsters are hyperactive at present both here and in the USA it is true that the only poll that really counts is the one on Election Day at the ballot box. With that disclaimer I will bravely predict the following :


a) Analysis of the Electoral College leanings in the US puts George Bush well in front of John Kerry who needs a near miracle to regain enough states to get him over the line. It is a requirement in American Election campaigns that Electoral College appointees vote with the singular majority vote of the State (the exceptions being in Maine and Nebraska). In that instance the following current state of affairs is revealing:


Bush has 210 of the required 271 college votes needed to win. Kerry has 189. Undecided states are those where neither candidate commands 50% or better of the poll. There are currently 13 States in that category and they are responsible for delivering 142 college votes - enough for either candidate to take victory. Polls in those marginals however reveal the following. Bush has the lead in 8 of the 13 states (83 Votes).Kerry has the lead in 3 states (50 votes). 2 states are statistical ties (9 votes). Even if Kerry were to win those he still trails badly. Only a late surge of substantial proportions by Kerry can hope to gain him the presidency. He needs to claim states Bush currently holds by 3 percent or more. PREDICTION : BUSH Easily. (Great value at between $1.50 and $1.66 on various Internet betting sites for the punters among you.)


b) John Howard is a strong bookies (and large punters) favorite despite recent more favorable polling reports for Labor. Labor will need everyone of the predicted 80% preference flow from the surging greens vote in order to stand a chance. The pendulum margin however is pretty slim and looking at the marginal seats it appears Labour is making good gains in taking seats from the coalition. Solomon in the NT appears to be a strong likely gain for Labor at present (88 votes is unlikely to survive even the mildest swing away from the Govt). It appears another 3 marginals are likely to change hands. Unfortunately for Labor this is insufficient to take Government and it appears that the gains Latham has made recently have stalled in terms of polling popularity. PREDICTION : Howard by a whisker. (For the punters - $2.60 Labor appears a touch over the odds if you want a true gamble on the election - It is never certain which way the Australian Electorate will vote as Jeff Kennett (beaten 1/100 favorite) and John Hewson - the loser of the unlosable election will testify.)

 
AUSTRALIAN POLL
09.16.04 (6:18 pm)   [edit]
What gives with the Pollsters? reading them gives a conpletely different prediction of who is in front in this election.
Even worse is the apparent bias now starting to be shown in the media.
Ninemsn (never afraid to lend the Libs a hand) mention poll results that are either a) totally unbelievable b) Altered or c) Supplied directly by the Liberal party themselves.

Caution should always be taken in believing online polls (even the ones on this site) due to the relative inadequacy of controls to prevent voting more than once.

And to what purpose was the poll showing LIB 55%, ALP 37% (understating that this was Over -55's only) This segment of the market has always favoured the conservatives so its selective disply without also mentioning the overall result was a clear move by the TV station concerned to misrepresent the level of general support for both parties. As Derryn would say, SHAME!

Another way of looking at all this is perhaps John Howard might be needing all the help he can get?
 
UNDER 25 YEARS OLD? THE LIBERAL PARTY DOESNT WANT YOU!
04.14.04 (5:20 pm)   [edit]
The announced intention that the Government will attempt to close the electoral rolls as soon as the Election is announced effectively means if you havent registered as a first time voter, your effectively disenfranchised! The Federal Liberal/National coalition doesnt think you will vote for them so they are attempting to remove your right to vote!

More here....

http://smh.com.au/articles/2004/04/13/10 81838720348.html?from=storyrhs" title="http://smh.com.au/articles/2004/04/13/10 81838720348.html?from=storyrhs" target="_blank"http://smh.com.au/articles/20...
 
IRAQ - An Analysis of Party Stances
04.13.04 (4:41 pm)   [edit]
Highly respected journalist Michelle Grattan has contributed a thoroughly well thought out analysis of the domestic political impact on current major party positions on Iraq. Well worth a read.....

http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/04/13/10 81838717560.html" title="http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/04/13/10 81838717560.html" target="_blank"http://www.theage.com.au/arti...
 
AND LOCAL VIEWS ON IRAQ
04.08.04 (5:33 pm)   [edit]
The CLP enters the fray

http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s108454 9.htm" title="http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s108454 9.htm" target="_blank"http://www.abc.net.au/news/ne...

Notably NT Labor wimps it altogether....
In theory they are correct in that it IS a Federal Issue but given the large number of Military Personnel in the Territory, Labor's response seems to be to ignore the issue and hope it all just goes away.
 
THE NT's NEW AMERICAN NEWSPAPER
04.06.04 (3:32 pm)   [edit]
News this morning that News Corp will be repatriated holus-bolus to America now means we our largest circulation local newspaper is no longer an Aussie!
While effectively this situation has prevailed for years, this mornings announcement effectively says "Goodbye" to Rupert. So.....In the interests of supporting local businesses I will be contacting locally produced newspapers and where appropriate adding a MEDIA link to them on the Left Hand Side menu.

 
PROMISES PROMISES
04.05.04 (6:29 pm)   [edit]
We are still a long way from the NT Election (Scheduled for 2005) however due to the long standing tradition of newly elected parties failing to keep election promises this Blog entry will be dedicated to identifying election promises made by all candidates and parties with a view to following them up. I will be adding to this entry as time goes on so that we never let whoever wins off the hook!

1. Clare Martin (NT LABOR) - Removal of Stamp Duty on Property Transactions (Posted 8/4/2004)
2. Freedom of Information Legislation (NT LABOR) - Promised prior to the last election!! Where is it Clare Majella?
3. Improved reception in the Darwin Northern Suburbs (promised prior to last election) - NT Labor
 
BRINGING THE TROOPS HOME
04.01.04 (3:05 pm)   [edit]
Recent publicity to the proposal to "Bring the troops home by Christmas" by Mark Latham has lead to much discussion as to whether this is a) popular (Politicians always make the most popular choice - right?) b) Appropriate - Are we risking our alliances by withdrawing support early c) Astute - Some pundits have been calling this a Labor blunder

And what the polls are saying? None of the popular pollsters are directly addressing this issue however the following relevant results may be of interest.

Ninemsn - 56% of 46613 respondents say Australia has a responsibility to rebuilding Iraq.

Newspoll - 65% of 1200 respondents believe Australia's involvement in the Iraqi war has made a terrorist attack in Australia more likely.

Morgan - An interpreted result
http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2004/3726" title="http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2004/3726" target="_blank"http://www.roymorgan.com/news...

So what do YOU think?

AND perhaps what they really mean!

http://www.smh.com.au/ffximage/2004/03/29/ED cart.jpg" title="http://www.smh.com.au/ffximage/2004/03/29/ED cart.jpg" target="_blank"http://www.smh.com.au/ffximag...

Latham wants an exit strategy

http://www.heraldsun.news.com.au/common/story_page/0" title="http://www.heraldsun.news.com.au/common/story_page/0" target="_blank"http://www.heraldsun.news.com...,5478,9225178%255E1702,00 .html
 
REMINDERS
03.21.04 (7:46 pm)   [edit]
1. If you click the "Bot this Blog" link you can enter your email address and be alerted everytime there is an update to this site.

2. Commenting on any article allows you to send a private email. This is sometimes preferred for those readers that dont want to make public comment or just want to suggest a fresh subject.

3. The polls have been moved to the Right Hand side to allow more space for links. The 2 previous polls on Swimming in Kakadu and Sunday Drinking have been removed due to little response.

4. I sometimes update a subject within the body of the original post. "Male Teachers" and "Sunday Drinking" are examples of this so please dont assume the only recent posts are always at the top of the page.
 
EAST TIMOR AND OIL
03.21.04 (4:20 pm)   [edit]
East Timor isnt happy with its deal with Australia regarding the income recieved from Oil in the Timor Sea.

http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/03/21/10 79823239984.html" title="http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/03/21/10 79823239984.html" target="_blank"http://www.theage.com.au/arti...

Timor makes it views known but even the dry season sunshine doesnt get the people of Darwin out on the issue

http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s108615 4.htm" title="http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s108615 4.htm" target="_blank"http://www.abc.net.au/news/ne...

 
YOUR REQUESTS
03.18.04 (8:37 pm)   [edit]
Just reiterating that anyone wanting a subject added, link or other material just send me an email. New parties, Independant candidates etc are also welcome.

NB: To the reader that suggested a link to the Wild Sex Party - It wasnt quite what I had in mind!
 
Juvenile Diversion Plan
03.18.04 (8:33 pm)   [edit]
Tilly Needham's idea of using visits to jails gets an airing on the ABC site. When Tilly Needham or her new party "Our Territory Party" get a web presence I will add them to the Weblinks section. More can be read here

http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s106716 8.htm" title="http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s106716 8.htm" target="_blank"http://www.abc.net.au/news/ne...
 
NT Population Movements
03.18.04 (7:15 pm)   [edit]
It seems the commonly held belief about the decline in the Territory's population isnt quite true

http://news.com.au/common/story_page/0" title="http://news.com.au/common/story_page/0" target="_blank"http://news.com.au/common/sto...,4057,9007915%255E13569,0 0.html
 
Male Teachers
03.10.04 (8:23 pm)   [edit]
The debate is intensifying regarding the means to get more male teachers into our education system. And it looks like at least one Fairfax journalist believes Labor might have got this one wrong. Comments welcome
http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/03/10/10 78594427199.html" title="http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/03/10/10 78594427199.html" target="_blank"http://www.theage.com.au/arti...

Syd Stirlings view
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s106339 7.htm" title="http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s106339 7.htm" target="_blank"http://www.abc.net.au/news/ne...

The Aust Catholic University and author Bryce Courtney have their say :
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s106424 6.htm" title="http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s106424 6.htm" target="_blank"http://www.abc.net.au/news/ne...

Ruddock, Macklin and others weigh in
http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/03/21/10 79823245428.html" title="http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/03/21/10 79823245428.html" target="_blank"http://www.theage.com.au/arti...

And the Canadian Experience of the same

http://www.etni.org.il/news/mrchips.htm" title="http://www.etni.org.il/news/mrchips.htm" target="_blank"http://www.etni.org.il/news/m...